Betway Predictions

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction – LaLiga Round 34 (May 3, 2025)

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Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – LaLiga Round 34 Preview & Prediction (May 3, 2025)

🏆 Competition: LaLiga – Round 34
📅 Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
📍 Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
🕐 Kick-off: 13:00 CET

🔵 Alavés Fight for Survival, Atlético Eye the Podium

The opening match of LaLiga’s Saturday slate brings together two clubs with vastly different motivations. Alavés, battling to avoid a quick return to the Segunda División, host Atlético Madrid, who remain firmly in the race for a top-three finish and automatic Champions League qualification.

This clash at Mendizorrotza carries weight for both ends of the table — and the form book suggests a tense 90 minutes in the Basque Country.

🏠 Alavés: Home Grit Not Enough in 2025

Despite a passionate home atmosphere, Alavés have struggled to turn Mendizorrotza into a fortress in 2025. They’ve picked up just 5 points from 6 home games this year, winning once, drawing twice and losing three times.

While there’s been defensive discipline under Luis García Plaza, the biggest issue has been scoring goals. Alavés have netted just 6 goals in 10 matches in 2025, the fewest in the league over that span. Only Samu Omorodion has shown flashes of attacking intent, but service has been sparse.

📊 Alavés in 2025:

  • 🟥 Just 1 win in last 9 LaLiga games

  • ⚽ Only 6 goals scored in 2025

  • 🧤 2 clean sheets in the last 10

  • ❗ Failed to score in 5 of their last 7 games

  • 🔄 Tactically rigid, but lacking attacking quality

🔴 Atlético Madrid: Grit, Goals, and Griezmann

Diego Simeone’s Atlético have been one of LaLiga’s most consistent sides in 2025. Since the winter break, Los Rojiblancos have taken 21 points from 10 matches, including strong wins against Betis (2-0), Sevilla (3-1), and Valencia (2-1).

Their attacking efficiency has improved significantly in 2025. Antoine Griezmann has rediscovered top form with 6 goals and 3 assists this calendar year, while Álvaro Morata and Marcos Llorente provide vital support.

Away form has been solid too — 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 trips.

📊 Atlético Madrid in 2025:

  • ✅ 6W, 3D, 1L since January

  • ⚽ 18 goals scored, 9 conceded

  • 🌟 Griezmann: 6 goals, 3 assists

  • 🧱 4 clean sheets in last 6 matches

  • 🔁 Rotation depth paying off in spring

🧾 Probable Lineups

Alavés (4-2-3-1):
Sivera – Tenaglia, Abqar, Duarte, Javi López – Guevara, Blanco – Rioja, Benavídez, Alkain – Samu Omorodion

Atlético Madrid (3-5-2):
Oblak – Witsel, Hermoso, Savic – Molina, Koke, De Paul, Saúl, Lino – Griezmann, Morata

🔍 Tactical Outlook

Expect Atlético to control possession and suffocate Alavés’ limited counter-attacking ability. The hosts will likely defend deep and play for set pieces or a hopeful break. However, Atlético’s midfield superiority and attacking sharpness may prove too much over 90 minutes.

🔮 Score Prediction: Alavés 0-2 Atlético Madrid

Alavés simply don’t score enough or create enough chances to threaten a well-organized Atlético side. With Griezmann in top form and the team playing with purpose, this has all the signs of a professional away win for Simeone’s men.

✅ Best Bets & Tips

  • ✅ Atlético Madrid to Win – Superior in every metric

  • ✅ Under 2.5 Goals – Atlético don’t concede or over-commit

  • ✅ Griezmann to Score or Assist – Involved in over 50% of their goals in 2025

🗣️ Final Thought

Alavés’ survival hopes hinge on getting points at home, but this challenge may prove too much. Atlético Madrid are finding balance at the perfect time of the season, and Mendizorrotza looks set to host a routine but vital victory for the Champions League chasers.