Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction (1.85 odds): Barca Expected to Deliver in LaLiga Clash

Alaves vs Barcelona Prediction (May 13, 2026) ⚽

Match Preview

Barcelona travel to Estadio Mendizorrotza to face Alaves in an important LaLiga Round 36 clash. With the title race and European qualification spots still creating pressure at the top of the table, Barcelona cannot afford mistakes against a disciplined Alaves side that has been difficult to beat at home.

Alaves have built their season around compact defending and physical intensity, especially against stronger opponents. Barcelona, meanwhile, continue to dominate possession in most matches and arrive with one of the league’s strongest attacking records.

Head-to-Head Record 📊

• Last 5 meetings:
  • Barcelona wins: 4
  • Alaves wins: 0
  • Draws: 1
• Goals scored in last 5 meetings:
  • Alaves: 3
  • Barcelona: 11

Barcelona have consistently controlled recent encounters, often dominating possession and creating significantly more chances.

Predicted Lineups

Alaves (4-2-3-1)

Sivera; Gorosabel, Abqar, Rafa Marin, Duarte; Guevara, Blanco; Rioja, Guridi, Rebbach; Omorodion

Barcelona (4-3-3)

Ter Stegen; Kounde, Araujo, Cubarsi, Balde; Pedri, De Jong, Gundogan; Yamal, Lewandowski, Raphinha

xG & Tactical Analysis 📈

• Average xG (Alaves): 1.12
• Average xG (Barcelona): 2.18
• xGA (Alaves): 1.45
• xGA (Barcelona): 0.98

Barcelona generate far more attacking opportunities on average and remain dangerous through quick passing combinations and wide overloads. Alaves are likely to defend deep and attempt to exploit set pieces or counterattacks.

Key Factors 🔑

• Barcelona’s attacking depth and ball control
• Alaves’ compact defensive structure
• The creativity of Pedri and Gundogan
• Home atmosphere at Mendizorrotza

Prediction 💡

Alaves should make life difficult for Barcelona during the early stages, especially with aggressive pressing and physical defending. However, Barcelona’s technical quality and attacking movement are expected to create enough chances to secure another important LaLiga victory.

Prediction: Barcelona to win & Over 2.5 Goals
Estimated Odds: 1.85
Correct Score: 1-3